Reverse Poisson ,Beat the bookies at their own game

If you have a suggestion how to improve please let me know. If more users will ask for the feature I will have no choice but to implement it.
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Gambit365
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Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2018 8:07 pm

Reverse Poisson ,Beat the bookies at their own game

Post by Gambit365 »

Hi, just wondering if someone mathematically inclined could help me with this... i understand how you can use average goals scored for the home & away team to derive the probabilities of Home win, Draw, and Away win.. and i have the excel spreadsheet to compute this.. My question now is, if i have a set of probabilities, say 43%/27%/30% and i want to reverse the process to compute the average goals scored.. how do i go about this using the CGMBet .
For example ........https://www.totalcorner.com/page/fullti ... calculator
Re: Reverse Poisson, how to work backwards? i believe there should be a certain formula to decompose the Poisson result back & find the two X,Y variables (average goals scored) or the over and under .
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