One of the main problem when compare the current game with what happened in the past in similar games is the case when there are some unusual events, like red card, one or two key players are missing, the motivation is very high or very low for some reasons..etc
In this cases I droped the game without think too much.
It is not the case anymore because I added the possibility to adjust the team form, then the odds/percents will be calculated accordingly.
For example, if we know that 2 key players are mssing we can adjust the fom to 80% or 90% ..etc
Of course, in time, will learn the correct percents to reduce or add
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